[Reblog] SurroundHealth – 2015 Top 10 Predictions in Public Health
Excerpt from the 6 January 2015 post
Ready or not, the Affordable Care Act (ACA) is once again heading to the Supreme Court. At stake is whether the law allows consumers purchasing insurance through the Federal portal to extend the same discounts that states provide. Eliminating the discount could gut the exchange’s value to federal consumers. In the meantime, it’s enrollment as usual for 2015. Share this this updated ACA enrollment guide from the IOM.
2. Defending Safety Net and Programs and Regulations
- Medicare Private voucher program proposal. With a new GOP majority, I expect to revisit proposals to privatize Medicare. The American Public Health Association (APHA) is on record opposing such a policy move as undermining the foundation of Medicare’s guaranteed coverage. Brace yourselves for some ideological power-plays over health care access for seniors.
- Access to Abortion Services. APHA supports Access to abortion and ensuring the availability of qualified practitioners. The access to safe and legal abortion services at the state level has narrowed rapidly across the majority of US states since 2013. Now, this sharply partisan issue is likely provoke both Congressional challenges and more states to seeking to restrict these services, especially for low-income women.
- Environmental Protections. Expect attacks on environmental regulations and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Republicans are candid that their goal is to end the EPA. Clean air standards and more may be threatened.
3. New Vaccines
- Ebola Vaccine. Likely the most fast-tracked vaccine trials ever, I’m not the only one predicting that we’ll see an ebola vaccine in 2015. Together with infection control protocols established for the affected West African countries, this will hasten the end to what had seemed an intractable crisis—though we’re not likely to snuff out ebola completely within the year.
- HPV Nonavalent Vaccine. Merck’s nine-valent HPV vaccine received FDA approval in 2014. It’s very likely that this will replace, or partially replace, their current quadrivalent (4-valent) version. The newer vaccine will increase the percentage of cancer-causing HPV types prevented from 70% to 90% and potentially prevent tens of thousands of cancers per year. It may only need 2 doses instead of the current 3. The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) should make a recommendation in the first half of 2015 with rollout later in the year.
4. National Policy on Police Violence in Communities of Color
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